Football squares odds, by the numbers
The best square in football is home 0, away 7: it won the final score in 3.7% of the 7,362 NFL games played from 2000 through the 2025 season. The worst is 2-2, which won 4 times in 26 seasons — 0.1%. An average square wins 1%.
Which squares win the final score most often?
Every Blocklock squares number below is the share of games whose final score ended in that digit pair (home team digit first). Zeros, threes, and sevens dominate because touchdowns move scores in sevens and field goals in threes:
- #1 · Home 0 – Away 73.7% of games
- #2 · Home 7 – Away 03.5% of games
- #3 · Home 0 – Away 33.4% of games
- #4 · Home 7 – Away 43.3% of games
- #5 · Home 4 – Away 73.1% of games
The graveyard: 2-2 (0.1%), 5-5 (0.1%), 5-2 (0.2%). Landing one of these means rooting for safeties and missed extra points.
| Home ↓ / Away → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| 4 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 7 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| 8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| 9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
Why does 0-0 dominate the first quarter?
The 0-0 square wins the first quarter in 17.6% of NFL games — by far the most valuable single checkpoint on the board — because scoreless and single-score first quarters are common. The top Q1 squares: 0-0 (17.6%), 7-0 (13.6%), 0-7 (10.9%). By the final gun the distribution spreads, but it never evens out.
| Home ↓ / Away → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 10.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 6 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 7 | 13.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Halftime and third quarter odds
Halftime (top table) and end of Q3 (bottom) sit between the extremes: zeros fade as scores accumulate, and 7s and 3s take over. The best halftime square is 0-0 at 6.9%.
| Home ↓ / Away → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 5.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 6 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| 7 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 5.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| 8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Home ↓ / Away → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 7 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
How were these numbers computed?
Blocklock computed every table on this page from the quarter-by-quarter scores of all 7,362 completed NFL games from the 2000 season through the 2025 season (regular season and playoffs, ESPN data). Each game contributes one digit pair per checkpoint: the last digit of the home and away score at the end of Q1, halftime, Q3, and the final. Nothing is modeled or estimated — these are counts. Cite freely with a link; the page updates each season.
Remember: in a fair squares pool you can't pick your numbers — digits are drawn after squares are claimed. On a Blocklock board the draw happens server-side at lock, exactly once. These odds tell you what you're holding, not what to buy.
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